VAERS, denial, and plausible deniability

Cynical versus psycholgical denial of reality. Reflective intro added April 4, 2023.

April 4, 2023: There is a single analysis which persuaded me to drop everything and focus on covid vaccine safety, and that is the “ugly VAERS graph” which will someday grace the cover of a book. This graph showed that death reports in VAERS went from ~100 per year, for 30 years, and then suddenly shot up to over ten thousand in 2021. This graph has yet to appear in legacy media, two years after its appearance on Twitter.

I have previously written about the psychological defense mechanism of denial, which is understood as an unconscious method used by the mind in order to defend itself from difficult aspects of reality. Many observers have proposed that one reason for the delay on the part of scientists, physicians, and other opinion leaders to recognize covid vaccine hazards was denial of the possibility of covid vaccines to do harm.

One can ask how long denial persists. “Antivaxxers” were already concerned about vaccine safety, prior to covid vaccine rollout, and their lag time before realizing there was a problem with covid vaccines was likely close to zero. For analytical and advertising-allergic individuals, the lag time was perhaps a few weeks, until they had seen primary data from sources such as VAERS. For the average individual in Western public health hierarchies, the lag time ranged from a few months in Scandinavian countries, to over a year, in North America. For individuals who continue to obtain their third or fourth boosters, denial persists up to the present.

One factor that influences unconscious denial is deliberate misrepresentation of hazard by people in positions of authority, i.e. CDC leaders, presidents, prime ministers (sometimes called gaslighting - or the deliberate induction of denial in others through false information and persuasion).

Which brings up the topic of plausible deniability. Ever since I began intensive study of the VAERS database in March 2021, I have been amazed by how poorly CDC leaders, or any public health leaders, made use of this rich source of data. As I have mentioned in numerous posts, most recently today, glaringly obvious signals of covid vaccine hazard have been obvious for anyone with a high school math background since the first month of vaccine rollout, in December 2020. It took me a few hours to learn my way around the VAERS database, and once this was done, it was possible to generate multiple graphs showing signals of hazard within the space of an hour.

I hypothesize that the CDC leadership ordered that VAERS data not be analyzed in the case of covid vaccines, either by CDC staff, or by external analysts. This is the only way that plausible deniability regarding covid vaccine hazards can be maintained.

The problem for the CDC, and other leaders in public health, is that it is implausible to deny awareness of VAERS data. The longer this public denial of VAERS continues, the worse it looks for the CDC and others.